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Prediction for CME (2014-12-19T00:27:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2014-12-19T00:27ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/7413/-1 CME Note: assocaited with M6.9 flare with peak time2014-12-18T21:41Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T18:22Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: Max Kp: 5.0 Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T13:00Z Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Prediction Method Note: Met Office ENLIL settings. ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform) Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1 WSA version: 2.2 Please specify following CME input parameters. Time at 21.5Rs boundary:2014-12-19T02:26Z Radial velocity (km/s):730 Longitude (deg):E04 Latitude (deg): S09 Half-angular width (deg):60 Notes: Space weather advisor:Mark Sidaway: Analysis from limited imagery.Lead Time: 60.70 hour(s) Difference: 5.37 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2014-12-19T05:40Z |
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